Asteroid Apocalypse: Here’s The Probability Of Such A Disastrous Event

You are probably aware by now that the Internet is flooded with asteroid-related news. “A potential impact could wipe out humanity,” “An asteroid could hit us,” and so on – these are just some examples of the titles that you might see while surfing the web.

There are various asteroids passing by our planet – that’s definitely true, but it’s also important to understand the risks that these space rocks could or could not pose for our beloved Earth.

There’s a massive fear of asteroids in some people, and it’s crucial that you learn the fact that the chances for such an event to take place are extremely small.

Of course, there are tons of movies or books based on this scenario, and together with most of the media, such an idea can indeed contribute to the magnifying of the deadly probability.

The probability is really low – almost negligible

It’s been reported that, based on current calculations, the probability of such a disaster – an apocalyptic impact just like the one that killed all the dinosaurs 66 million years ago is really low during our lifetime, at least.

Interestingengineering writes that “Space debris burns up in our atmosphere every day. Any space rock with a diameter of about 10-meters (33 feet), will be destroyed in the Earth’s atmosphere during thermal explosions.”

They continue and reveal that some experts believe that we are overdue for an asteroid impact – one of the scale that killed the dinosaurs. These happen approximately once every 50 to 50 million years.

The website also notes that this assertion is definitely debatable. They also mention the fact that the solar system is showing signs of relative tranquility, which is also essential.

Here are the exact numbers 

Anyway, we know that you’re curious about the numbers, so let’s jump straight into the math.

It’s been revealed that, according to NASA, “the probability of an asteroid capable of destroying a city striking Earth is 0.1% every year. If one of these does hit Earth, there is a 70% chance it will land in the ocean, and a 25% chance it will land over a relatively unpopulated area. This is what happened with the Tunguska impact in Russia just over a hundred years ago.”

More than that, the website continues and reveals that “The odds of a 5-10 kilometer wide asteroid, the likes of which made the dinosaurs go extinct, hitting Earth is almost negligible at 0.000001%.”

As you can see, there’s literally nothing to worry about.

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