A global specialist on infectious diseased said on Wednesday that the outbreak is only now starting in the rest of the world, and it is prone to spread globally. The Chinese government’s senior medical adviser stated that the infection is getting to a peak in China and may be over by April of this year. He has based the prediction on mathematical modeling, the latest events, and government action.
Dale Fisher, chair of the Global Outbreak Alert & Response Network that is managed by the World Health Organization (WHO), said that the foreseen ‘time course’ may be correct if the pathogen is allowed to spread in Wuhan.
“It’s fair to say that’s really what we are seeing,” he stated in an interview. “But it has spread to other places where it’s the beginning of the outbreak. In Singapore, we are at the beginning of the outbreak.”
A Lot About Coronavirus is Still Unknown
The virus, very similar to the flu, has claimed the lives of over 1,100 people and contaminated about 45,000 mainly in China and mostly in Wuhan. Singapore has also reported 50 coronavirus cases.
“I’d be pretty confident though that eventually every country will have a case,” Fisher said.
When asked why there were so many patients infected in Singapore, he said that there were relatively more tests being carried out on the island.
“We have a very low index of suspicion for testing people, so…we do have higher ascertainment,” he said but added that there is still a lot about the transfer of the pathogen that needs to be understood.
He said that elderly people and those suffering from diabetes are more prone to get infected.
“For the vast majority of people, it will just be a mild illness but still treat it with respect,” Fisher said.